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Goldman Sachs cuts US recession odds on tariff optimism; UK wage growth slows as jobs market cools – business live

Rolling coverage of the latest economic and financial newsUK pub chain Marston’s has swung back to a profit in the first half of its financial year, thanks to a busy Christmas and Mother’s Day, as well as a tighter focus on costs.The pub owner reported a pre-tax profit of £19m in the 26 weeks ended on 29 March, compared with a loss of £0.2m in the comparable period in 2024.Their revised forecast reflects a combination of a lower effective tariff rate and the recent easing of financial conditions.We raise our S&P 500 return and earnings forecasts to incorporate lower tariff rates, better economic growth, and less recession risk than we previously expected. Our new 3- and 12-month returns forecasts are +1% and +11%, indicating levels of 5900 and 6500 (previously 5700 and 6200). Continue reading...


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