13 h. ago ‘The damage is done’: Why the risk of global recession remains despite Trump’s tariff pause

Even with a 90-day pause on aggressive tariff hikes, leading economists say global damage has already been done thanks to ongoing uncertainty

Events

17 h. ago What is a recession? Gordon Brown warns Trump is pushing the world towards recession

‘No more than a narrow window of opportunity remains if we are to prevent an unnecessary global recession,’ warns former prime minister

Events

22 h. ago Trump is pushing the world into recession. By learning the lessons of 2008, we can still prevent it | Gordon Brown

As I discovered then, global problems need international responses. By working together, we can protect jobs and living standardsThis is the first in a two part series on the global response to Donald Trump’s tariffsNo more than a narrow window of opportunity remains if we are to prevent an unnecessary global recession. As China and the US decouple, disruptive trade wars are intensifying and threaten to descend into currency wars; import, export, investment and technology bans; and financial fire sales that will destroy millions of jobs worldwide. It seems barely credible that the world is being brought to its knees by one economy, outside of which live 96% of the population, who produce 84% of the world’s manufactured goods. But even though US officials have previously talked of a tariff policy of “escalate to de-escalate”, Donald Trump’s aim is to force manufacturing back to the US, and his 90-day relaxation of some tariffs does not mean he intends to defuse the crisis.On Monday, ...

Politics

22 h. ago Trump is pushing the world towards recession. By learning the lessons of 2008, we can still prevent it | Gordon Brown

As I discovered then, global problems need international responses. By working together, we can protect jobs and living standardsThis is the first in a two part series on the global response to Donald Trump’s tariffsNo more than a narrow window of opportunity remains if we are to prevent an unnecessary global recession. As China and the US decouple, disruptive trade wars are intensifying and threaten to descend into currency wars; import, export, investment and technology bans; and financial fire sales that will destroy millions of jobs worldwide. It seems barely credible that the world is being brought to its knees by one economy, outside of which live 96% of the population, who produce 84% of the world’s manufactured goods. But even though US officials have previously talked of a tariff policy of “escalate to de-escalate”, Donald Trump’s aim is to force manufacturing back to the US, and his 90-day relaxation of some tariffs does not mean he intends to defuse the crisis.On Monday, ...

Politics

33 h. ago Trump pauses plans to hike US tariffs on most countries except China

Trump says he will raise US tariffs on Chinese exports to 125% and unveils 90-day pause for other countriesBusiness live – latest updatesDonald Trump shelved plans to hike tariffs on most countries except China, unveiling a 90-day pause and pulling back from his global trade war after days of market turmoil and warnings of recession.After insisting for days that he would hold firm on his aggressive trade strategy, Trump announced that all countries that had not retaliated against US tariffs would receive a reprieve – and only face a blanket US tariff of 10% – until July.Never miss global breaking news. Download our free app to keep up with key stories in real time. Continue reading...

Politics

36 h. ago Petrol to fall below 130p a litre within days as Trump tariffs cause oil price to plunge

Fears that Trump's new trade tariffs could trigger a global recession has sent oil prices plummeting - and drivers will benefit at the pumps.

Politics

37 h. ago Fact check: are US tariffs really bringing in $2bn a day as Trump claims?

US president may have used some hypothetical maths but chances are slim that such sums are being raisedBusiness live – latest updatesDonald Trump has defended his tariffs by arguing that they are already raking in almost $2bn (£1.6bn) a day for the US.Speaking after more than $5tn of losses on the US stock market since his “liberation day” announcement last week, he made the claim on Tuesday, adding: “America is going to be very rich again, very soon.” Continue reading...

Politics

43 h. ago Donald Trump will learn 'China will not blink' in fighting 'total war' against global tariffs

Experts believe that Donald Trump's decision could lead to a global recession unless the "deals" he's so keen to make are arranged quickly, after the stock market went into freefall following him slapping tariffs on every country in the world

Politics

49 h. ago Will Trump’s tariffs tip the world into recession? – podcast

As countries reel from the Trump tariffs, can a global recession still be avoided? Richard Partington reportsJust after midnight on Tuesday, EDT time, the wall of tariffs Donald Trump announced last week came into effect. The new system upends decades of precedent from the world’s strongest economy and has sent global markets reeling.The Guardian’s senior economics correspondent, Richard Partington, explains to Michael Safi the dynamics of a market crash and a trade war and how together they may contribute to the onset of a global recession. However, as he makes clear, the world is not yet in that worst-case scenario and steps can still be taken to minimise the risk. Continue reading...

Economics

67 h. ago How ‘liberation day’ rout compares with other notorious stock market crises

A swift loss of £4tn from global stock markets has led some to liken Trump’s trade war to 1929 Wall Street crashBusiness live – latest updatesDonald Trump’s escalating trade war has plunged global financial markets into the steepest rout since the spread of the Covid pandemic five years ago.Drawing parallels with the 1929 Wall Street crash and the ensuing 1930s Great Depression, the US president’s “liberation day” tariff plan has led to warnings of a global recession from leading economists. Continue reading...

Politics

3 d. ago Trump says US in direct talks with Iran over nuclear program as he holds Oval Office meeting with Netanyahu – US politics live

President says talks to continue on Saturday and adds he and Israeli president also discussed tariffs and Israel-Gaza warEU ministers are in Luxembourg to consider the European Union’s response to Trump’s sweeping tariff regime amid continuing market turmoil and heightened fears of a global economic recession.It comes after Trump doubled down on his tariff policy in comments aboard Air Force One overnight. He said Europe “has treated us very, very badly,” and “has taken our leaders for a ride”, and declined to hold talks on changing tariffs “unless they pay us a lot of money on a yearly basis”. He also repeated criticism of Europe for not spending a fair share on Nato. Continue reading...

Politics

3 d. ago Donald Trump says he is not looking at pausing tariffs as US markets close after rocky day – business live

US president, when asked about considering a pause in global tariffs, says ‘We’re not looking at that’Trump threatens additional 50% tariffs on China over retaliatory leviesVolatility grips global stock markets as Trump insists on tariff ‘medicine’Hong Kong stocks have plummeted more than 9% at open, while Singapore stocks dropped over 7%, according to reports.Hong Kong and Chinese stocks dived on Monday as markets around the world crumbled in the face of the widening global trade war and fears it will unleash a deep recession, Reuters says. Continue reading...

Economics

3 d. ago Rollercoaster day for global stock markets as BlackRock CEO says US ‘probably in recession’ – business live

Larry Fink says most CEOs he talked to agreed with assessment; US indexes see sharp ups and downs; UK index loses nearly 4.5% US politics live: Trump threatens China with additional tariffsVolatility grips global stock markets as Trump insists on tariff ‘medicine’Hong Kong stocks have plummeted more than 9% at open, while Singapore stocks dropped over 7%, according to reports.Hong Kong and Chinese stocks dived on Monday as markets around the world crumbled in the face of the widening global trade war and fears it will unleash a deep recession, Reuters says. Continue reading...

Economics

3 d. ago Global recession fears as markets plunge on Trump’s tariff ‘medicine’

Banks warn of slowdown but president threatens to escalate trade war with China by imposing even higher import taxes

Economics

3 d. ago Trump threatens China with extra 50% tariffs if country fails to withdraw 34% retaliatory levies – US politics live

US president escalates trade war with China, saying all negotiations will be terminated and additional levies will take effect on WednesdayGlobal stock markets tumble over tariff ‘medicine’Wall Street falls continue – business liveWhich Trump billionaires have lost the most?EU ministers are in Luxembourg to consider the European Union’s response to Trump’s sweeping tariff regime amid continuing market turmoil and heightened fears of a global economic recession.It comes after Trump doubled down on his tariff policy in comments aboard Air Force One overnight. He said Europe “has treated us very, very badly,” and “has taken our leaders for a ride”, and declined to hold talks on changing tariffs “unless they pay us a lot of money on a yearly basis”. He also repeated criticism of Europe for not spending a fair share on Nato. Continue reading...

Politics

3 d. ago Trump tariffs live: US stocks plunge on opening as EU ‘finalising’ plan to hit back in trade war

US president describes sweeping tariffs as ‘medicine’ as bank hikes probability of global recession to 60 per cent

Events

3 d. ago Rollercoaster for US stock markets as tariff uncertainty puts investors on edge

Wall Street shows some recovery after initial falls as Trump’s team dismiss rumours of a 90-day pause on tariffs as ‘fake news’US Politics Live: Trump says Federal Reserve should cut ratesVolatility grips global stock markets as Trump insists on tariff ‘medicine’Hong Kong stocks have plummeted more than 9% at open, while Singapore stocks dropped over 7%, according to reports.Hong Kong and Chinese stocks dived on Monday as markets around the world crumbled in the face of the widening global trade war and fears it will unleash a deep recession, Reuters says. Continue reading...

Economics

3 d. ago Trump says Federal Reserve should cut rates; Canada initiates WTO dispute over car tariffs – US politics live

US economic council head denies tariffs were part of strategy to pressure Fed to cut interest rates; Canada says measures breach trade agreementsEU ministers are in Luxembourg to consider the European Union’s response to Trump’s sweeping tariff regime amid continuing market turmoil and heightened fears of a global economic recession.It comes after Trump doubled down on his tariff policy in comments aboard Air Force One overnight. He said Europe “has treated us very, very badly,” and “has taken our leaders for a ride”, and declined to hold talks on changing tariffs “unless they pay us a lot of money on a yearly basis”. He also repeated criticism of Europe for not spending a fair share on Nato. Continue reading...

Politics

3 d. ago BREAKING: Keir Starmer to give major speech today as Trump tariffs spark global bloodbath fears

Keir Starmer will give an address in the West Midlands this afternoon as panic grows over Donald Trump's tariffs, which experts fear will cause a global recession

Politics

3 d. ago Trump tariffs live: FTSE sinks in market chaos as fears grow US president will trigger global recession

US president describes sweeping tariffs as ‘medicine’ as billionaire who endorsed Trump calls for pause to avert ‘economic nuclear winter’

Politics