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Trade War to Force Bank of Canada to Cut Deeper, Economists Say

The trade battle between the US and Canada is prompting economists to predict the Bank of Canada will lower its policy interest rate to 2% this year, almost as low as before the Covid-19 pandemic.



Economists predict the Bank of Canada will lower its policy interest rate to 2% this year due to the trade battle between the US and Canada, potentially cutting a full percentage point from the current 3% by October. Economists surveyed said Trump's trade policy significantly impacts their interest rate forecasts, affecting accuracy or adding risk. A majority believe the Bank of Canada should move borrowing costs into stimulative territory to combat potential stagflation from a tariff war, while also acknowledging the net impact of a trade war as inflationary.

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