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Trade War to Force Bank of Canada to Cut Deeper, Economists Say
Economists predict the Bank of Canada will lower its policy interest rate to 2% this year due to the trade battle between the US and Canada, potentially cutting a full percentage point from the current 3% by October. Economists surveyed said Trump's trade policy significantly impacts their interest rate forecasts, affecting accuracy or adding risk. A majority believe the Bank of Canada should move borrowing costs into stimulative territory to combat potential stagflation from a tariff war, while also acknowledging the net impact of a trade war as inflationary.
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