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US Sees Russia, Ukraine Choosing a Longer War Over a Bad Deal

Russia and Ukraine may see a greater incentive to prolong the three-year conflict instead of rushing into a full settlement, according to an assessment by the US intelligence community that clashes with President Donald Trump’s pledges for a rapid end to the three-year conflict.



US intelligence assesses that Russia and Ukraine may prefer prolonging their conflict over accepting an unsatisfactory settlement. This assessment clashes with President Trump's goal of a quick resolution. Both sides see risks in a prolonged war but may view them as less than the risks of a bad deal. Russia has battlefield momentum and Ukraine worries about losing Western support and security guarantees.

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